L4Y: 58 overs, 56 unders.
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I have a question on this wager........
What is the better bet. My guru's pick was Dallas/New Jersey UNDER 4 1/2 (+108)....
I found this info:
Dallas/New Jersey UNDER 4 1/2 (+108) Pinnacle
and
Dallas/New Jersey UNDER 5 (-160) Olympic
What do you think is the better bet. I went with the guru because he knows more, what's your take?
GottaWinToday
What is the better bet. My guru's pick was Dallas/New Jersey UNDER 4 1/2 (+108)....
I found this info:
Dallas/New Jersey UNDER 4 1/2 (+108) Pinnacle
and
Dallas/New Jersey UNDER 5 (-160) Olympic
What do you think is the better bet. I went with the guru because he knows more, what's your take?
GottaWinToday
under no circumstances would you lay even -40 cents on a total, never mind -60 !!
question would have been better if you had the option of under 5.0-30. THEN, since it would take 6 goals to beat you, and a case could be made to lay -30.
a wiseguy i know asked if betting the over 4.5-20 was better than the over 5.0+30 that he had the option on - i suggested he bet both. but the over 4.5-20 was pretty strong.
regardless, the under 4.5+$ would have been the better play. in fact ANYONE advising you to lay -60 you can pass on they should find another business.
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question would have been better if you had the option of under 5.0-30. THEN, since it would take 6 goals to beat you, and a case could be made to lay -30.
a wiseguy i know asked if betting the over 4.5-20 was better than the over 5.0+30 that he had the option on - i suggested he bet both. but the over 4.5-20 was pretty strong.
regardless, the under 4.5+$ would have been the better play. in fact ANYONE advising you to lay -60 you can pass on they should find another business.
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Bobby, I don't really understand when you say to never lay -160. Let me get this straight. IF a line is 5 un -140, and you find a book that is hanging a 5.5 un -160. Are you telling me that you wouldn't play this game because you are laying -160?
Thanks
Thanks
and do NOT know any wise-guy hockey bettors (and i know many) who do either. if a price is that far off and ive no other options - i just pass.
now if YOU want to lay -60 and try to justify it by the price being off, go for it. dont forget that just because a line is off is NO guarantee that it will get there.
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now if YOU want to lay -60 and try to justify it by the price being off, go for it. dont forget that just because a line is off is NO guarantee that it will get there.
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im not certain because dont pretend to be expert on bases or baskets, but i think if you constantly look for even or better it is terrific in long run. a HUGE bettor i know is killing the nfl whenever he can find the line even or +$ this year. for instance +2.5+10, etc. and i still feel its okay to lay up to minus 20 occasionally in the pucks and beleive me i get blasted every time by guys who bet more and have been in business long time.
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The only time I lay anything more then a dime is a playoff total. I am willing to go 5 un -120 or 4.5 ov -120 and thats it. Laying anymore then 120 is never a option for me, Much rather keep my $$ in my pocket
I swear, you guys are all nuts!!! Just because a game is laying -60 or more, you don't play it.
So let me get this straight.. If a line is 4.5 under -120, and you have a book offering you 5.5-160, you wouldn't bet it? So buying a full puck for only 40 cents would NOT be worth it for you boys just because you're laying 60 cents?. I can't believe I'm hearing this.
So if Dallas on the ML is DAL -270, and you found a book that has DAL -160, you guys won't bet it? Please don't say NO, or I am quitting the hockey forum for good. /infopop/emoticons/icon_biggrin.gif
In this business, it's all about value boys, not what you lay.
So let me get this straight.. If a line is 4.5 under -120, and you have a book offering you 5.5-160, you wouldn't bet it? So buying a full puck for only 40 cents would NOT be worth it for you boys just because you're laying 60 cents?. I can't believe I'm hearing this.
So if Dallas on the ML is DAL -270, and you found a book that has DAL -160, you guys won't bet it? Please don't say NO, or I am quitting the hockey forum for good. /infopop/emoticons/icon_biggrin.gif
In this business, it's all about value boys, not what you lay.
we wont lay the -60. curious how you can say "its about value - not what you lay". think they are related. if YOU think laying -60 represents value, go for it. funny how you forget that it isnt an automatic winner. two years ago i was getting great prices left and right, games that were 20 cents and more off of my numbers and i still got buried.
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<BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote"><font size="-1">quote:</font><HR> So if Dallas on the ML is DAL -270, and you found a book that has DAL -160, you guys won't bet it? Please don't say NO, or I am quitting the hockey forum for good. <HR></BLOCKQUOTE>
I would take the -.5 from the book laying the -160 on the ML /infopop/emoticons/icon_biggrin.gif
-160 is way to steep, although I have sinned and layed -145 this year, luckily it never bit me in the ass /infopop/emoticons/icon_smile.gif
Funny thing, I feel more upset losing a -120 wager then a +100 wager, not for the 20 cents but I feel like an idiot, or I fell for something...thats just me though.
GL
I would take the -.5 from the book laying the -160 on the ML /infopop/emoticons/icon_biggrin.gif
-160 is way to steep, although I have sinned and layed -145 this year, luckily it never bit me in the ass /infopop/emoticons/icon_smile.gif
Funny thing, I feel more upset losing a -120 wager then a +100 wager, not for the 20 cents but I feel like an idiot, or I fell for something...thats just me though.
GL
